Mortgage interest Rates TrendDevelopment of mortgage interest rates
"Monthly data show little change, with the August 2-year mortgage interest spread rising by only 0.01% to 2.53% on August averaging. But back in January, the mean was 2. 35%, 0. 18% lower than this months return. "The significant hike to the two-year fixed-interest mean clearly shows that creditors had forecast that interest rates would have risen on the horizon since the beginning of the year.
Consequently, by the August message, 72% of mortgage rates had already taken into account the 0.25% interest rate hike in their two-year mortgage rates during the first half of the year. "In contrast to the Bank of England's interest hike in November 2017, the mortgage markets were not active in the run-up to this key interest hike, with interest rates and products staying relatively constant.
Most of this was due to strong mortgage spending before the May news. "The expectation of a key interest rates hike was high in May, with the overwhelming bulk of suppliers raising their interest rates in expectation and in response to the then significantly higher SWAP rates.
The resulting absence of interest fluctuation, however, had little effect on the mean two-year fix interest rates. "Instead of lowering interest rates to their previous level, it seems that suppliers are waiting to see whether a hike in interest rates is likely. However, this is to be anticipated as trackers rates are more closely adjusted to the basic interest and LIBOR rates and are therefore more vulnerable to a surge or contraction in these market rates.